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Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Viktor Shvets to MacroVoices. Erik and Viktor discuss:

  • Inflation vs. disinflation
  • “Everything will go to zero”
  • Cause of changes in economic behavior and social attitude
  • Generation cycles and fourth turning
  • Capital markets and Fed policy – where are they headed?
  • Is the only possible direction for interest rates to go up?

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VIKTOR SHVETS is a global strategist at Macquarie Bank. In his almost four-decades-long investment banking career, he worked in Sydney, Melbourne, Hong Kong, London, New York, and Moscow at a number of global investment banks, such as Baring Securities, Deutsche Bank, DLJ, Lehman Brothers and Credit Suisse. Over the years, he has been a highly rated analyst across various disciplines, head of research and is now recognized as one of the more innovative global market strategists, working on the intersection between finance, technology, politics, and history. He is a prolific writer on key global trends and is a frequent commentator on CNBC, Bloomberg, and other media outlets.

In June 2020, Viktor has published his first book – ‘The Great Rupture’ – distilling decades of investment and academic experience into a deep perspective of the future, and the role that people, technology and capital are likely to play, as societies continue to come under pressure from the self-reinforcing merger of the Information Age and Financialization. The book learns from the past and projects into the future. Will it be capitalism or communism, feudalism, or despotism?

Viktor was born in Kiev, which at the time was the capital of the Soviet Ukraine. He attended Kiev University of Trade before immigrating to Australia, where he completed a Bachelor of Economics degree from the University of Sydney and a Master of Commerce degree from the University of New South Wales. He is married with two sons and currently resides in Hong Kong.