• MacroVoices Podcast with Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

    MacroVoices Podcast with Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

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  • MacroVoices Podcast with Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

About Erik Townsend

hedge fund manager Erik Townsend

Erik Townsend is a retired software entrepreneur turned hedge fund manager. Throughout his career, Erik has capitalized on his ability to understand complex systems and anticipate paradigm shifts far in advance of the mainstream. Read More...

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New Book

Welcome to Macro Voices

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male silhouette.Erik Townsend  welcomes Niels Kaastrup-Larsen to MacroVoices Spotlight. Erik and Niels discuss:

  • Algorithmic trading: History, and who the players are including Statistical Arbitrage and HFT
  • The Trend Following strategy and its history
  • Richard Dennis’ “Turtles”
  • Benefits of de-correlation and conditional correlation
  • Performance of trend-following CTAs

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this interview, as Erik and Niels will refer to it throughout the interview.

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Niels Kaastrup-Larsen Slide Deck 

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male silhouette.Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Grant Williams to MacroVoices. Erik and Grant discuss:

  • Global negative yielding debt
  • US Treasury market and equity market
  • Outlook on MMT and monetary policies
  • Is the inverted yield curve an indicator for recession?
  • Is US stock market recession-proof?
  • Outlook on gold and other precious metals
  • "Unicorn" companies

We strongly recommend that you download the chart book that accompanies this episode's postgame segment, as Erik and Patrick will refer to it throughout the segment. If you are already registered at MacroVoices.com, just login and the download link will appear here once you're logged in. If you haven’t already registered, click the red “Subscribe for FREE” button on the top right side of the home page, and register. Once logged in, you will see the download link(s) and will be able to download the PDF document(s).

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All-Star Brent Johnson and Erik discuss:

  • Why the U.S. Dollar is even stronger than most people realize
  • Gold breakout and what comes next
  • Equity outlook

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All-Star Luke Gromen and Erik discuss:

  • Oct 12, 2018: A date few noticed but we all should: The USD “insurance” market effectively went no-offer
  • Why FX-hedged relative yields are so important
  • Consequences of FX-hedged UST yields turning negative
  • Where we stand: 7th, 8th or 9th inning?
  • The mechanics: What should we expect from markets when the Fed is forced to monetize deficits?

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male silhouette.Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Danielle DiMartino-Booth and Peter Boockvar to MacroVoices. They discuss:

  • Financial repression
  • China and trade war
  • Outlook on US dollar
  • Europe, the ECB and Chrstine Lagarde
  • Outlook on Gold
  • What happens next?

 

In Part 1 they discussed:

  • FOMC statement and historic rate cut
  • Are we in a currency war?
  • Risks of a recession in the U.S.
  • Main Street vs. Wall Street
  • How do risk assets react to a new QE?
  • Inflation risks moving forward
  • Modern Monetary Theory

 

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All-Star Prof. Steve Keen and Erik discuss:

  • Erik’s book and recent videos’ central prediction is that the USD will eventually be replaced as global reserve currency by a global digital reserve currency system
  • Steve’s take: Central Bankers often make their boldest moves on their way OUT of office
  • Steve thinks the rest of the world is more than ready for the USD to be displaced by something else as reserve currency
  • Steve & Erik lament about Carney’s reference to Facebook’s Libra as the digital currency system to model a global reserve currency system on

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All-Star Jeff Snider and Erik discuss: 

  • Jeff explains why banks are willing to pay thru the nose for negative-yielding sovereign debt
  • If sovereign bonds serve as an insurance policy for the banking system, what do they see coming they need to insure against?
  • Why the problem is not really term premia, as Janet Yellen recently suggested
  • Graphs and charts are presented as evidence against the term premia argument
  • Why Gold is up so much despite dollar strength
  • The Long Eurodollar Futures trade and why it’s become so popular lately

Jeff Snider Chartbook 2019 08 26 

Collateral Reserves: What Is Behind Record Low and Negative Yields 

                                                                  Eurodollar University: Diagramming Repo Reserves And Negative Yields

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This two-part series explains the Digital Currency Revolution to Central Bankers, Elected Officials & Government policymakers. The focus is NOT on cryptocurrency, but rather what's coming next, AFTER cryptocurrency. This series explains why all money will be digital within 25 years, and why government has been slow to understand the sea change already in motion.

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Part 2 is the "meat" of the series. Part 1 began with the high level political argument for why Digital Currency will change the world. Part 2 goes deep on monetary concepts and distributed ledger technology.

Ironically, my book was released on the same day Christine Lagard fulfilled one of its predictions by publicly calling for CBDCs. The central prediction of this video is that the U.S. Dollar will be replaced by a new digital global reserve currency. Now on the very day that I'm releasing these videos, BOE chief Mark Carney pitched the idea of a digital reserve currency [the central prediction of my book and these videos] at Jackson Hole. The coincidence of both events happening on days I was releasing content is astonishing.

For the record, this was written on July 18th and recorded on July 25th. It's been delayed for graphics editing since then until its release on August 23rd.

Details

male silhouette.Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Danielle DiMartino-Booth and Peter Boockvar to MacroVoices. They discuss:

  • FOMC statement and historic rate cut
  • Are we in a currency war?
  • Risks of a recession in the U.S.
  • Main Street vs. Wall Street
  • How do risk assets react to a new QE?
  • Inflation risks moving forward
  • Modern Monetary Theory

Coming in Part 2:

  • Financial Repression
  • China and Trade War
  • Europe, the ECB and Christine Lagarde 
  • Outlook on Gold
  • What happens next?

 


Get embed code for this episode. | For other embed code options click here. | Download the audio MP3 File (47.17 MB) . | Download the podcast transcript:   pdf Here (210 KB)

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MACRO VOICES is presented for informational and entertainment purposes only. The information presented in MACRO VOICES should NOT be construed as investment advice. Always consult a licensed investment professional before making important investment decisions. The opinions expressed on MACRO VOICES are those of the participants. MACRO VOICES, its producers, and hosts Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna shall NOT be liable for losses resulting from investment decisions based on information or viewpoints presented on MACRO VOICES.

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